Sunday, April 26, 2026

One Reason Is not the Answer - The Fallacy of the Single Cause

Arm yourself with mental models and understanding of cognitive biases to make better decisions.

In Rolf Dobelli's "The Art of Thinking Clearly" he includes the fallacy of the single cause. Assigning success or failure to a single cause is faulty during complexity. Ask why success succeeds. 

MVB 25 Features

A youth movement arrives (includes five frosh and five sophs)        Record setting performance by senior Sabine Wenzel                      Growth of the quarterback - sophomore Sadie Smith  

 MVB 25 Bugs

"Experience is what you get when you don't get what you want"          Struggle to close out games (e.g. Newburyport, Burlington)                Need to improve blocking at the pins (point prevention) 

The Future

Connection - move from good to excellent                                    Attention to detail - champions win more points                               Finishing kick - capacity to close out sets and matches

Connect. Watch programs like America's Got Talent. Note how the best 'acts' connect with the audience. UCONN Coach Geno Auriemma says that during recruiting, dominant players stand out from the beginning. Excellence is evident.  

Lagniappe. Consistency is a superpower. 

 Lagniappe 2. What spurs learning? Follow the thread. 

                                       

 

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